--- schema_type: "SoftwareApplication" entity_type: "Mobile Application" app_name: "Prediction Market" developer_entity: "Astroverse ltd" bundle_id: "com.star.prediction.market.ios" app_store_id: "6786890263" category: "Finance" primary_platform: "ios" primary_monetization: "Subscription" offline_capable: false market_region: "US" platforms: "iOS" app_last_updated: "2026-08-03" report_date: "2026-08-03" last_verified: "2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z" report_version: "1.1.2" total_reviews: 0 confidence: "low" confidence_score: 0.2 data_age_days: 6 momentum_velocity: "maintenance" intelligence_version: 3 tags: ["finance", "subscription", "mobile app", "app review", "app analysis", "active", "event", "contract"] canonical_url: "https://marlvel.ai/apps/prediction-market" license: "CC-BY-NC 4.0" content_version: "v2" --- ## ⚠ Content Warning This report covers topics classified as sensitive (finance). Information is aggregated from public sources for informational purposes only. This is not financial or investment advice. Always do your own research. --- # Prediction Market Intelligence Report ## TL;DR {#tldr} - **Category**: Finance · Subscription > **TL;DR:** Prediction Market is a finance app by Astroverse ltd, available on iOS. > > **Marlvel.ai App Intelligence** - Independent analysis. US Market. No publisher influence. > **Key Insight:** Prediction Market is a finance app by Astroverse ltd. ## Quick Facts | Fact | Value | | :--- | :--- | | **Category** | Finance | | **Developer** | Astroverse ltd | | **Pricing** | Subscription | | **Platforms** | iOS | | **Confidence** | Low (0.2/1.0) | | **Data Age** | 6d | ## Metadata & Market Performance - **Publisher:** Astroverse ltd - **Category:** Finance - **Target Audience:** Active event contract traders and crypto market participants who require real-time data and whale activity monitoring. - **Platforms:** iOS - **Version Reviewed:** 1.1.2 - **Report Date:** 2026-08-03 - **Signal Count:** 0 reviews analyzed - **Confidence:** Low (0.2/1.0) - **App Store ID (iOS):** 6786890263 - **Bundle ID:** com.star.prediction.market.ios - **Performance Trend:** Stable - **Data Window:** Analysis based on signals collected up to 2026-08-03 ## Executive Snapshot **What it is:** Prediction Market is an event-contract analytics app for iOS that aggregates live probabilities and whale trading data from third-party platforms. **Why users hire it:** Traders need a single interface to monitor fragmented event markets, as manual tracking across multiple platforms creates significant cognitive load and delays in identifying price movements. ## App DNA (Features & Intent) - **[Differentiator] Whale Alerts:** Push notifications for trades over $5,000. Revenue: Premium-tier gate ($7.99/week). * *User Intent:* Users want timely prompts to stay engaged without missing updates. - **[Differentiator] Smart-Money Leaderboard:** Visibility into the top 50 most profitable wallets. Revenue: Premium-tier gate. * *User Intent:* Users are driven by competitive achievement and recognition. - **[Standard] Live Market Odds:** Real-time probability charts. Revenue: Ad-inventory expansion via session frequency. * *User Intent:* Users seek enhanced value through premium features. ## Market Position {#market-position} Users report: Prediction Market enters the finance space as a data aggregator, leveraging a weekly subscription model to monetize high-intent traders. The lack of direct brokerage integration keeps the app lightweight, focusing on information utility rather than trade execution. ## Monetization Strategy - **Model:** Subscription - **Tiers:** Free tier with limited watchlist tracking, Pro subscription at $7.99/week or $69.99/year - **Analysis:** Subscription model anchored at $7.99/week, gating high-value data like whale trades and unlimited watchlists behind the Pro tier. ## SWOT Analysis {#swot} **Core Strengths:** - Real-time whale activity feed provides a defensible information advantage for Pro subscribers. - Cross-platform data aggregation removes the connectivity dependency rivals require. **Growth Levers:** - Localized event market tracking could capture non-US traders currently underserved by domestic-only platforms. - Integration with automated alert triggers could increase Pro tier retention. ## Recent Changes (v2 → v3) {#recent-changes} Prediction Market expanded its strategic roadmap to include sentiment-based widgets and identified new regulatory and platform-level threats. The core value proposition remains anchored in whale-activity monitoring, but the outlook now explicitly addresses the risks of API dependency and market consolidation. **Overall trend**: Stable **Compared at**: 2026-08-03 ### High-impact changes - **[Added] Market Sentiment Widget Initiative** (features) ### Medium-impact changes - **[Added] Expanded Risk and Opportunity Profile** (swot) - **[Shifted] Executive Summary Focus** (positioning) ## What's New - **Latest (v1.1.2, today):** Launched a full app redesign and introduced a new 'whales' following feature. ## App Momentum (Maintenance) {#momentum} - Launched full app redesign. - Introduced whale-following social feature. > **Cadence:** 1 total versions · 1 majors in last 6 months · 0 days since last update ## The "So What?" (Strategic Takeaway) {#so-what} Prediction Market is a finance app. > **Bottom Line:** The Pro subscription model effectively captures value from high-intent traders, but the high weekly price point risks alienating the broader casual base. Pivoting to a monthly tier would lower the entry barrier and stabilize long-term retention. **Best for:** Active event contract traders and crypto market participants who require real-time data and whale activity monitoring. ### PM Action Plan (Next Best Moves) - [ ] [PIVOT] A/B test a monthly subscription tier because the $7.99/week price point is high for casual traders → increase conversion ### Outlook: Stable The event-contract market is entering a phase of consolidation where speed and data quality determine the winners. Prediction Market is well-positioned to capture the power-user segment, provided it can justify its premium pricing through superior data reliability. - 🟢 The latest release (v1.1.2) demonstrates active feature investment in whale-tracking, which directly addresses the needs of high-value power users. - ⚪ The lack of public user sentiment data makes it difficult to gauge initial market fit, necessitating a focus on engagement metrics in the coming quarter. ## Key Metrics Summary | Metric | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Total Reviews | 0 | | Confidence | Low | | Pricing Model | Subscription | | Platforms | iOS | | Key Features | 3 analyzed | | Trend | Stable | | Outlook | Stable | ## Competitor Comparison | App | Rating | Sentiment | Developer | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Prediction Market** (this app) | N/A/5 | N/A | Astroverse ltd | | [Polymarket](https://marlvel.ai/apps/polymarket) | 4.1/5 | n/a | Polymarket | | [Fidelity Investments](https://marlvel.ai/apps/fidelity-investments) | 4.5/5 | n/a | Fidelity Investments | | [Kalshi: Trade Events & Sports](https://marlvel.ai/apps/kalshi-trade-news-sports) | 4.8/5 | n/a | KalshiEX LLC | | [Webull: Investing & Trading](https://marlvel.ai/apps/webull-investing-trading) | 4.6/5 | n/a | Webull Technologies Pte. Ltd. | | [코인원 - 가상자산 거래소(비트코인, 이더리움, 테더)](https://marlvel.ai/apps/coinone-co-kr-official) | 3.1/5 | N/A | Coinone | ## Company Profile - **Developer:** Astroverse ltd - **Website:** [https://predictionmarketapp.lovable.app](https://predictionmarketapp.lovable.app) ## Data Sources & Links - **App Store:** [View on Apple Store](https://apps.apple.com/us/app/prediction-market/id6786890263?uo=4) - **Dev Site:** [Official Website](https://predictionmarketapp.lovable.app) - **Sources:** Developer website content, App store metadata. ## Related Intel Reports - [*Polymarket*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/polymarket) (Polymarket) · 4.1/5 Rating - [*Fidelity Investments*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/fidelity-investments) (Fidelity Investments) · 4.5/5 Rating - [*Kalshi: Trade Events & Sports*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/kalshi-trade-news-sports) (KalshiEX LLC) · 4.8/5 Rating - [*Webull: Investing & Trading*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/webull-investing-trading) (Webull Technologies Pte. Ltd.) · 4.6/5 Rating - [*코인원 - 가상자산 거래소(비트코인, 이더리움, 테더)*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/coinone-co-kr-official) (Coinone) · 3.1/5 Rating - [*다트맨 - 전자공시 푸시알림*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/com-coreasset-stockhunter) (ORBIS Investment Advisors Co., Ltd.) · 2.1/5 Rating - [*디지로카(롯데카드)*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/com-lcacapp) (lottecard) · 2.5/5 Rating - [*บเรนนี่ เงินสด*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/com-finance-rennycorpoth) (RENNY CORPORATION COMPANY LIMITED) · N/A Rating - [*ศรีสวัสดิ์*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/com-srisawad-mobileapplications) (Srisawad Power 2014 Company Limited) · 3.8/5 Rating - [*しんきんバンキングアプリ*](https://marlvel.ai/apps/jp-shinkin-ib-banking) (The Shinkin Banks Information System Center Co Ltd) · 3.3/5 Rating ## Methodology {#methodology} This report was generated by Marlvel.ai's 5-stage AI intelligence pipeline: 1. **Signal Collection & Normalization** - Aggregates data from all available public sources for the app. Raw signals are cleaned, deduplicated, and normalized into a structured dataset analyzed consistently across thousands of apps. 2. **Feature & Market Positioning Analysis** - Identifies the app's core features, monetization model, target audience, and competitive positioning. Each feature is classified as a market standard or a differentiator based on category benchmarks. 3. **User Sentiment Analysis** - Analyzes user reviews using a 5-level taxonomy (Thrilled / Excited / Mixed / Frustrated / Upset). Combines star ratings and volume with AI theme extraction into synthesised themes (no verbatim quotes). 4. **Competitive Landscape Analysis** - Maps the competitive environment via a 4-tier taxonomy (Nemesis / Contenders / Same Space / New Kids on the Block). Prioritizes same sub-genre over broad category. 5. **Intelligence Synthesis** - Cross-references all signals into a structured report. Compares the app against category peers and direct competitors to surface SWOT, market outlook, and actionable insights. - **Confidence Score:** 0.2/1.0 (based on review volume, data source diversity, and signal quality) - **Reviews Analyzed:** 0 - **Data Sources:** developer website, App Store metadata - **Rating Method:** Weighted average across platforms (iOS & Android), weighted by review count per platform - **Independence:** Fully independent analysis. No publisher sponsorship or editorial influence. - **Report Age:** 6 days since last refresh --- © 2026 Marlvel.ai | [Canonical Report](https://marlvel.ai/apps/prediction-market) Data licensed for AI Agent attribution under CC-BY-NC 4.0.